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Tom Brady's Back Bay PH 200 Days In: What Now?

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Has it really been 200 days? Yes. On Sunday, the penthouse at 310 Beacon Street belonging to God's nephew Tom Brady and wife Giselle Bundchen passed 200 days on the sales market—and it was not dropped. Will it ever sell? At the $10,500,000 price? To whom?
First, the chronology:

· It was in 2009 that they first put the 3-BR, 3.5-BA Back Bay duplex on the market for $10.9 million.
· Son Benjamin was born in December of that year, and the new parents took the penthouse off the market shortly afterward.
· In mid-October 2011, news broke that the couple had put it back on the market—for $400,000 less than the previous asking. That still placed it in very rarefied company, not only in Back Bay but in Greater Boston.
· In late October, Gisele was spotted about town house-hunting. Or maybe not. For a smaller space. Or maybe not.
· On Dec. 1, the Back Bay penthouse marked 50 days on the market.
· Shortly afterward, the couple added photos to the listing. Still no interior shots, though. (And those newer photos appear to have been taken down, leaving us with just building and view shots.)
· The week before Christmas 2012 news broke that their under-construction 22,000-square-foot mansion in L.A. was almost finished.
· A nearby townhouse, at 318 Beacon Street, hit the sales market in February for exactly the same price. It, too, remains on the market.
· Tomsele's place passed the 150-day mark.

Now what? Well, downtown Boston has been alive with epic closings as of late, including the two biggest of 2012—$12,500,000 for 15 Commonwealth Avenue in early April; and $11,000,000 a short time later for 3 Louisburg Square. At the same time, there have been some tortuous price-chops at the higher-end, including at nearby properties in Back Bay. The sales of 15 Commonwealth and 3 Louisburg, in fact, involved price-chops. The trend gods, then, suggest a price-chop in store for Tomsele and then a sale (though, in the long view, they've already slashed the asking once).

Still, even at 200 days, the listing is a young'un compared to Boston's other ultra-pricey listings: The priciest, the Ames-Webster Mansion, has been on the market for 830 days; and the next-priciest, the townhouse at 10 Marlborough Street, has been on the market for 226. Both have already seen their prices chopped.

· Listing: 310 Beacon Street [Zillow]
· Will Tom Brady's L.A. Plans Spur Back Bay PH Sale? [Curbed Boston]
· Tom Brady, Gisele Bundchen Add Stair Shot to Back Bay Listing [Curbed Boston]
· Can Tom Brady's Winning Streak Extend to His Back Bay PH? [Curbed Boston]
· Tom Brady and Gisele Bundchen Downsizing in Back Bay? [Curbed Boston]
· Tom Brady, Gisele Bundchen Price-Chop Back Bay Manse [Curbed Boston]
· Boston's Biggest Sale of '12! $12.5M for 15 Commonwealth [Curbed Boston]
· $11M for 3 Louisburg Square: Boston's 2nd-Biggest Deal of '12 [Curbed Boston]
· Year's Deepest Discount at Charlestown Condo [Curbed Boston]
· $750K Off Back Bay Manse Edwin O'Connor Owned [Curbed Boston]

15 Commonwealth Avenue

15 Commonwealth Avenue, Boston, MA